Model picks Nuggets over Lakers, Celtics over Heat, more

The Cleveland Cavaliers will try to become the first team this season to go on a 16-game winning streak. The Cavaliers are 2.5-point road favorites on Friday against the Grizzlies, who have won four straight games. Cleveland is on its second 15-game winning streak this season and the Thunder are the only other team to win 15 straight this season. The Cavaliers will be without Donovan Mitchell (groin).

In addition, the Celtics will meet the Heat on Friday in a matchup of franchises who have met in the postseason the last three years, and DraftKings Sportsbook lists Boston as an 8-point favorite with the over/under at 214.5 points. SportsLine’s proven model has simulated every Friday NBA game 10,000 times and revealed an exact score prediction for each matchup.

SportsLine’s model has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons and it is 19-10 (65%) on top-rated NBA spread picks this season.

Celtics (-8) to cover vs. Heat (-110 at DraftKings)
Score prediction: Celtics 117, Heat 105

The Celtics are coming off a 118-112 loss to the Thunder on Wednesday, but Boston is 9-1 following its last 10 losses. Boston has often dominated those following contests as well with seven of nine victories by more than 10 points with an average margin of victory of 24.2 points. The Celtics are 15-4 overall over their last 19 games despite an often-crowded injury report and they are 9-5 ATS over their last 14 contests. Boston won each of its first two matchups against Miami by at least 18 points this season.

Grizzlies (+2.5) to cover vs. Cavaliers (-110 at Caesars)
Score prediction: Cavaliers 119, Grizzlies 118

Although Cleveland is the hottest team in the league with a 15-game winning streak, the Grizzlies are also in the midst of some of their best basketball over a four-game winning streak. The Grizzlies are the No. 2 seed in the Western Conference at 42-24 overall and have won four straight without Jaren Jackson Jr. active for any of those games. Jackson (ankle) is questionable to return Friday. Cleveland needed a fourth-quarter comeback in its 109-104 win over the Nets on Tuesday without Mitchell (groin) and could struggle without him again in a significantly tougher matchup. Caesars Sportsbook is currently offering the best odds on Memphis as the odds start to move in the Grizzlies’ favor.

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Timberwolves (-10.5) to cover vs. Magic (-105 at BetMGM)
Score prediction: Timberwolves 113, Magic 98

Minnesota has won six straight games and is coming off a 115-95 victory over the Nuggets on Wednesday. The Timberwolves have won five of those six games by at least 14 points as they look to climb out of the group of NBA Play-In Tournament. Minnesota is currently seventh in the Western Conference and a half-game behind the Warriors for the No. 6 seed. Anthony Edwards is fifth in the league in scoring at 27.2 ppg and Minnesota’s six-game winning streak has coincided with the return of Julius Randle, who is second in scoring at 18.9 ppg this season. Meanwhile, the Magic are 2-6 over their last eight games.

Nuggets (-15) to cover vs. Lakers (-110 at FanDuel)
Score prediction: Nuggets 123, Lakers 108

The Lakers are playing the second half of a back-to-back following a 126-106 loss to the Bucks on Thursday. LeBron James (groin) missed Thursday and remains out for Friday. Luka Doncic had 45 points against the Bucks, but that wasn’t enough to keep Los Angeles close. After entering Thursday questionable with ankle soreness, Doncic was ruled out on Friday afternoon. Meanwhile, Nikola Jokic is having another MVP-caliber season for the Nuggets, averaging 29 points, 12.9 rebounds and 10.4 assists per game this season. Jokic (elbow/ankle) and Jamal Murray (knee) are probable.

Kings (+3.5) to cover vs. Suns (-110 at Fanatics)
Score prediction: Kings 118, Suns 117

Neither the Kings nor the Suns enter Friday playing their best, but the Kings have a three-game lead over the Suns to remain in the NBA Play-In Tournament. Despite trading De’Aaron Fox, Sacramento proved motivated by winning with receiving Zach LaVine in exchange and later trading for Jonas Valanciunas. The Kings won five of six games before their current three-game losing skid, but the Suns are 5-14 since February 1. LaVine has scored at least 30 points in two of his last four games with the model projecting the Kings to win straight up, it loves the opportunity at betting them while getting points. Fanatics Sportsbook is currently offering the Kings at +3.

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2025 NBA picks, March 14 best bets from proven model

The Indiana Pacers will look to win the season series when they battle the Philadelphia 76ers in a key Eastern Conference matchup on Friday night. Indiana is coming off a 115-114 win over Milwaukee on Tuesday, while Philadelphia dropped a 118-105 decision at Toronto on Wednesday. The Pacers (36-28), who are 21-20 against the East, are 15-18 on the road. The 76ers (22-43), who are 14-27 versus the East, are 12-21 on their home court. The Sixers have been decimated by injuries and have 12 players listed as out or questionable, including Joel Embiid (knee), Paul George (groin) and Tyrese Maxey (back) who are all out. Pascal Siakam (elbow) is questionable for Indiana.

Tipoff from Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia is set for 7 p.m. ET. Indiana has won two of three meetings this season, including a 115-102 decision in their last meeting on Jan. 18, and the Pacers have also covered in two of the three matchups. The Pacers are 13-point favorites in the latest Pacers vs. 76ers odds from SportsLine consensus, an increase from opening as 9.5-point favorites. The over/under for total points scored is 231.5. Indy is at -813 on the money line (risk $813 to win $100), while Philly is at +551 (risk $100 to win $551). Before making any 76ers vs. Pacers picks, make sure to check out the NBA predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model enters Week 21 of the 2024-25 NBA season on a sizzling 148-107 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning nearly $4,000. It’s also an outstanding 19-10 (65%) on top-rated spread picks this season. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.

Now, the model has simulated Pacers vs. 76ers 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NBA picks and betting predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA odds and NBA betting lines for Sixers vs. Pacers:

Pacers vs. 76ers spread: Indiana -13
Pacers vs. 76ers over/under: 231.5 points
Pacers vs. 76ers money line: Indiana -813, Philadelphia +551
IND: The Pacers have hit the money line in 26 of their last 39 games (+19.20 units)
PHIL: The 76ers have hit the game total over in 49 of their last 82 games (+14.90 units)
Pacers vs. 76ers picks: See picks at SportsLine
Pacers vs. 76ers streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)
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Why the Pacers can cover
Power forward Pascal Siakam (questionable) has been on a roll of late. In the win over the Bucks on Tuesday, he registered a double-double with 25 points, 12 rebounds and five assists. He scored 35 points, grabbed nine rebounds and dished out three assists in a 124-118 loss at Atlanta on March 6. In 64 games, all starts, he is averaging 20.8 points, 7.2 rebounds and 3.3 assists in 32.9 minutes.

Point guard Tyrese Haliburton has registered seven double-doubles in a row. In the win over Milwaukee, he finished with 14 points, 10 assists, three rebounds and two steals, including a game-winning four-point play at the end of the game to secure the victory. He scored 28 points, dished out 15 assists and grabbed three rebounds in a 115-102 win over the Houston Rockets on March 4. In 60 games, all starts, he is averaging 18.5 points, 8.9 assists, 3.5 rebounds and 1.5 steals in 34 minutes. See which team to back at SportsLine.

Why the 76ers can cover
Shooting guard Quentin Grimes has helped boost the Philadelphia offense since being acquired last month from the Dallas Mavericks. He poured in 29 points, while adding four rebounds, three assists, three steals and two blocks in the loss at Toronto. He scored 35 points, grabbed seven rebounds, dished out five assists and recorded three steals in a 132-123 loss at Atlanta on Monday. In 62 games this season, including 24 starts, he is averaging 12.4 points, 4.1 rebounds and 2.5 assists in 25.2 minutes.

Also helping power the 76ers’ attack is veteran shooting guard Kelly Oubre Jr. In 60 games, including 57 starts, he is averaging 15.1 points, 6.1 rebounds, 1.8 assists and 1.5 steals in 34.6 minutes. In a 123-105 loss at Boston on March 6, he poured in 27 points, while adding six assists, five rebounds and three steals. He had 24 points, three rebounds and two assists in a 126-112 loss at Minnesota on March 4. See which team to back at SportsLine.

How to make Pacers vs. 76ers picks
SportsLine’s model has simulated 76ers vs. Pacers 10,000 times and is leaning Under the total, projecting 224 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in 60% of simulations. You can head to SportsLine to see the model’s NBA picks.

So who wins Pacers vs. 76ers on Friday, and which side of the spread hits in 60% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Pacers vs. 76ers spread to back, all from the model that has returned well over $10,000 on top-rated NBA picks, and find out.

Jamal Murray key component of Lakers-Nuggets SGP

The Denver Nuggets host the Los Angeles Lakers at 9:30 p.m. ET on Friday in a matchup of the No. 3 and 4 seeds in the Western Conference, respectively. The Nuggets are 42-24 on the year, holding a slim edge in the standings over the Lakers, who are 40-24. Denver is a 15-point favorite, according to FanDuel Sportsbook, and is -1000 on the money line (bet $1000 to win $100) while the Lakers are +600 (bet $100 to win $660). The over/under is 228, with the Over and Under each priced at -110. LeBron James (groin) and Luka Doncic (calf/ankle) have been ruled out for Los Angeles.

If you’re looking at player prop bets for Friday’s matchup between Denver and Los Angeles, including with Nuggets stars like Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray, make sure to check out what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. You can see all of the model’s top-rated prop picks for every game under the “Prop Picks” tab. There are ratings of up to five stars assigned for all sorts of different prop bets for players. Those picks can be key for creating winning parlays on DraftKings, FanDuel, PrizePicks, Underdog Fantasy or Sleeper Fantasy as well as same-game parlays on any available betting site.

Let’s dive into the SportsLine model’s three highest-rated player prop recommendations for Lakers-Nuggets and see what the payout would be if they were put into a same-game parlay.

Russell Westbrook Over 5.5 total assists (+126): 4 stars
Westbrook has finished Over his assists prop in four of his last five games against teams with top-third defenses. SportsLine’s model projects the veteran guard to finish Friday with 6.6 assists against the Lakers.

Jamal Murray Over 30.5 total points + rebounds + assists (-110): 3.5 stars
Murray is enjoying another nice season, and he has gone Over his PRA line in six of his last 10 games when the Nuggets have faced teams with a winning record. Murray is averaging 33.8 PRA per game over that timeframe, and the model projects him to have 31.8 PRA against Los Angeles.

Nikola Jokic Over 40.5 total points + rebounds (-106): 3 stars
Jokic, a three-time NBA MVP, has gone Over his points + rebounds prop in four of his last five games when the Nuggets are favored and playing a top-third defense. Jokic is averaging 42.6 total points + rebounds per game over that span, and SportsLine’s model projects him to finish Friday’s game against the Lakers with 40.8 total points + rebounds.

Same-Game Parlay odds: +796 at FanDuel Sportsbook

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